
The average rate of change of a set of data is the average of each change from period to period. For the data in table 1, the average rate of change is 48. This means that from 1999 to 2003, the squirrel population went down on average 48 squirrels per year. Average rate of change can be used to create a constant growth model. An equation modeling growth for this data is p = 48y + 1043 where y is the years since 1999 and p is the model's estimate of growth. Figure 1 shows each point in the dataset and the equation using the constant growth model. Note that the average rate of change is also the slope of the line modeling the data. 

Manipulative 1: Average Change 
Click on the points in manipulative 1 and drag them to change the figure. Find the value of average rate of change in the algebra window on the left. Now click on the aqua (middle) points and drag them. Does average change change? Click on the blue (end) points and drag them. Does average change change?
Why does average rate of change change only when the end points are moved? Write a formula for average rate of change that uses only the end points.
Click on the points in the dataset and drag them so that the line is close to the points. What characteristics would a dataset have that is modeled well using a constant growth equation?
Click on the points in the dataset an d drag them so that the line is far from the points. What characteristics would a dataset have that is not modeled well using a constant growth equation?
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